Jessica Hockett, PhD
Posting Germany data for documentation and later reference.
The most sensitive and appropriate — and ideal— measure for analyzing local mass-casualty events and event periods (or their absence) is the daily number of deaths by date of occurrence, assigned to the smallest available administrative unit where each death was initially recorded as having occurred. In many countries, including Germany, this means examining deaths at the city, county, or provincial level.
All data shown below are daily, but are state of residence, versus state of occurrence. Graphs generated using Tab 12613-08 of this file.
1. Germany: Daily All-Cause Deaths, 2020. All 16 states combined.

2. Germany: Daily All-Cause Deaths by State, 2020. Separate graphs for all 16 states. Each graph has its own vertical scale, starting at zero.

3. Germany: Daily All-Cause Deaths by State, 2020. All 16 states on a shared vertical scale. Dashed lines mark 16 March (U.S. 15 Days to Slow the Spread announcement) and 27 December (COVID shot deployment begins in Germany).

4. Germany: Daily All-Cause Deaths by State, 2017–2020. All 16 states on a shared vertical scale.

5. Germany: Daily All-Cause Deaths, 2017–2020. All 16 states combined.

6. Germany: Daily All-Cause Deaths, 2017–2020. All 16 states combined, with WHO declarations, documented flu-vaccine delivery timing, and nationwide COVID shot deployment marked.

Sources:
15 Days to Slow the Spread: https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/articles/15-days-slow-spread
COVID shot deployment date, per RKI situation report, 27 January 2021 https://www.rki.de/DE/Themen/Infektionskrankheiten/Infektionskrankheiten-A-Z/C/COVID-19-Pandemie/Situationsberichte/Jan_2021/2021-01-27-de.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=1
WHO declaration dates:
https://www.who.int/europe/emergencies/situations/covid-19
2017 flu-vaccine deliveries:
https://www.vdek.com/LVen/NRW/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2017/02-10-2017-grippeschutzimpfung.html
2018 flu-vaccine deliveries:
https://www.apotheke-adhoc.de/nachrichten/detail/politik/spahn-besucht-die-grippe-eier-gsk-impfstoffproduktion/
2019 flu-vaccine deliveries:
https://www.apotheke-adhoc.de/nachrichten/detail/pharmazie/bereits-142-millionen-impfdosen-freigegeben-grippesaison-201920/
2020 flu-vaccine deliveries:
https://www.pta-in-love.de/einzeldosen-grippeimpfstoff-privatpatienten-muessen-warten/
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